organization:united nations security council

  • UAE says ’sophisticated’ tanker attacks likely the work of a state actor - Reuters
    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-emirates-tanker-probe-un/uae-to-present-tanker-attack-report-to-u-n-security-council-members-diploma


    A combination of undated photographs provided June 6, 2019 by the United Arab Emirates mission to the United Nations show underwater damage to the (clockwise from top left) Saudi Arabian tanker Amjad, Saudi Arabian tanker Al Marzoqah, Norwegian tanker Andrea Victory and Emirati vessel A. Michel in the Port of Fujairah.
    UAE Mission/Handout via REUTERS

    The United Arab Emirates told United Nations Security Council members on Thursday that attacks on four tankers off its coast on May 12 bore the hallmarks of a “sophisticated and coordinated operation,” most likely by a state actor.

    In a document on the briefing to Security Council members, the UAE, joined by Norway and Saudi Arabia, did not say who it believed was behind the attacks and did not mention Iran, which has been accused by the United States of being directly responsible.

    The attacks required expert navigation of fast boats and trained divers who likely placed limpet mines with a high degree of precision on the vessels under the waterline to incapacitate but not sink them, according to the preliminary findings of the countries’ joint investigation.

    While investigations are still ongoing, these facts are strong indications that the four attacks were part of a sophisticated and coordinated operation carried out by an actor with significant operational capacity, most likely a state actor,” the three countries said in the document.

  • The Golan Heights first

    Trump gave Syria and its allies a renewed pretext for possible military action
    Haaretz Editorial
    Mar 24, 2019

    https://www.haaretz.com/opinion/editorial/the-golan-heights-first-1.7046251

    U.S. President Donald Trump’s statement that “it is time for the United States to fully recognize Israel’s sovereignty over the Golan Heights” received an enthusiastic welcome in Israel. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who got a shot in the arm from Trump at a low point in his election campaign, welcomed this “Purim miracle.” His rival Benny Gantz, whose party’s leading lights helped push for American recognition of the Golan’s annexation, said in a statement that Trump was cementing his place in history as a true friend of Israel.

    That Netanyahu and Gantz were both delighted is no surprise; the annexation of the Golan and the settlements established there enjoy widespread support in Israel. Since the Yom Kippur War of 1973, Syria has refrained from any attempt to recover the Golan by force, preferring to maintain the quiet and conduct peace talks that achieved nothing. The Druze residents of the northern Golan have also accepted Israeli rule without rebelling.

    The settlements on the Golan were established by the Labor Party, rather than the messianic Gush Emunim movement that settled the West Bank, and the Israelis who live there are termed “residents” rather than “settlers.” The beautiful vistas, the empty spaces and the snow on Mount Hermon are especially beloved by Israeli tourists.

    >> Read more: Trump’s Golan tweet brings U.S. to Syria through the back door | Analysis ■ Trump’s declaration: What does it mean and what happens now | Explained ■ How Secret Netanyahu-Assad backchannel gave way to Israeli demand for recognition of Golan sovereignty

    Nevertheless, despite the quiet and the internal consensus that sees the Golan as an inseparable part of Israel, this is occupied territory that Israel retains in violation of both international law and the principle at the basis of United Nations Security Council Resolution 242 — that the acquisition of territory by war is unacceptable. Israel accepted this principle, and six prime ministers, including Netanyahu, have held talks with the Syrians on returning the Golan in exchange for peace.

    The most recent talks were cut short by the outbreak of Syria’s civil war eight years ago, and the implosion on the other side of the border spurred appetites here for perpetuating the occupation with U.S. backing. During President Barack Obama’s tenure, that idea seemed hopeless. But Trump, no great fan of international laws and agreements, acceded happily to the Israeli request.

    Trump’s announcement and the applause that greeted it in Jerusalem send the troubling message that Israel is no longer interested in a peace agreement. It’s true that Syria, having fallen apart, is now weak and will settle for diplomatic censure, and in any case the chance of resuming negotiations in the north is near zero. But Trump gave Syria and its allies a renewed pretext for possible military action.
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    In the near term, the U.S. green light to annexing the Golan will deepen the Israeli delusion that U.S. approval is sufficient to revise the world map and contribute to erasing the 1967 lines as the relevant reference points for solving the Israeli-Arab conflict. The U.S. recognition will inevitably increase pressure from the right to annex Area C of the West Bank (which is under full Israeli control), intensifying the occupation and the bloody conflict with the Palestinians.

  • Netherlands recognize Gaza, West Bank as official Palestinian birthplaces
    Feb. 10, 2019 3:30 P.M. (Updated: Feb. 10, 2019 3:51 P.M.)
    http://www.maannews.com/Content.aspx?ID=782505

    BETHLEHEM (Ma’an) — Palestinians living in the Netherlands will be allowed to register the Gaza Strip and the West Bank as their official place of birth, Dutch State Secretary Raymond Knops told the House of Representatives in The Hague.

    The Netherlands, which does not recognize Palestine as a sovereign state, currently offers Palestinians two options when specifying their birthplace at the Dutch civil registry, the two options are Israel or “unknown.”

    Knops wrote a letter to the House of Representatives, saying that he intends to add the Gaza Strip and the West Bank, including East Jerusalem to a list of official states used by the Dutch civil registry.

    The new category will be available to Palestinians born after May 15th 1948, the day the British Mandate was officially terminated and Israel became a recognized state.

    In the letter, Knops stated that the new category is in accordance with “the Dutch viewpoint that Israel has no sovereignty over these areas,” as well as the Netherlands’ refusal to recognize Palestine as a state.

    Knops added that the new category was named based on the Oslo Accords and United Nations Security Council resolutions.
    While the UN General Assembly and at least 136 countries have recognized Palestine as a sovereign state, most of the European Union has refrained from recognition until such status is established peace agreement between the Israelis and the Palestinians. (...)

  • In starkest warning yet, EU states say Trump’s Mideast peace plan risks ’being condemned to failure’

    Eight EU member states say ahead of the plan’s publication that any proposal must take into account ’internationally agreed parameters’ – namely, a two-state solution

    Noa Landau SendSend me email alerts
    Dec 19, 2018 6

    https://www.haaretz.com/world-news/europe/.premium-eu-states-warn-trump-s-mideast-plan-risks-being-condemned-to-failu

    Eight European Union member states issued on Tuesday their starkest warning ahead of the publication of U.S. President Donald Trump’s long-awaited Middle East peace plan.

    The joint statement by France, the Netherlands, Poland, Sweden, the United Kingdom, Belgium, Germany and Italy follows a United Nations Security Council session on the situation in the region during which outgoing U.S. Ambassador Nikki Haley praised the “thoughtful” plan.
    The EU states, all members of the Security Council, warned that any peace plan that would disregard “internationally agreed parameters,” namely a two-state solution based on the 1967 borders with Jerusalem as the capital of both states, “would risk being condemned to failure.”

    >> Netanyahu is risking Israel’s interests by riding the European nationalist tiger | Analysis ■ U.S. evangelicals out their faith in Netanyahu as Trump readies Mideast peace plan
    They also reiterated “the EU’s strong continued commitment to the internationally agreed parameters for a just and lasting peace in the Middle East based on international law, relevant UN resolutions and previous agreements.”
    The statement went on to read: “The EU is truly convinced that the achievement of a two-state solution based on the 1967 borders with Jerusalem as the capital of both States, that meets Israeli and Palestinian security needs and Palestinian aspirations for statehood and sovereignty, ends the occupation and resolves all final status issues, in accordance with Security Council Resolution 2334 and previous agreements, is the only viable and realistic way to end the conflict and to achieve just and lasting peace.”
    The member states added that the EU “will continue to work towards that end with both parties, and its regional and international partners”, and called for restring “a political horizon” on this issue.
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    Nikki Haley said earlier Tuesday that the proposed U.S. plan to broker peace between Israel and the Palestinians “brings new elements to the discussion, taking advantage of the new world of technology that we live in.” However, she gave no details of what was in the plan.

  • With Nearly 400,000 Dead in South Sudan, Will the U.S. Change Policy? - FPIF
    https://fpif.org/with-nearly-400000-dead-in-south-sudan-will-the-u-s-change-policy

    The United States has also taken sides in the war. The Obama administration supported President Kiir, helping him acquire arms from Uganda, a close U.S. ally in the region. “Uganda got a wink from us,” a former senior official has acknowledged.

    To keep the weapons flowing, the Obama administration spent years blocking calls for an arms embargo.

    [...]

    Jon Temin, who worked for the State Department’s Policy Planning Staff during the final years of the Obama administration, has been highly critical of the Obama administration’s choices. In a recent report published by the U.S. Holocaust Memorial Museum, Temin argued that some of the worst violence could have been avoided if the Obama administration had implemented an arms embargo early in the conflict and refrained from siding so consistently with President Kiir.

    “The United States, at multiple stages, failed to step back and broadly reassess policy,” Temin reported.

    [...]

    More recently, the Trump administration has started paying some attention. The White House has posted statements to its website criticizing South Sudanese leaders and threatening to withhold assistance. Administration officials coordinated a recent vote at the United Nations Security Council to finally impose an arms embargo on the country.

    In other ways, however, the Trump administration has continued many of the policies of the Obama administration. It has not called much attention to the crisis. With the exception of the arms embargo, which could always be evaded with more winks to Uganda, it has done very little to step back, reassess policy, and change course.

    The United States could “lose leverage” in South Sudan “if it becomes antagonistic toward the government,” U.S. diplomat Gordon Buay warned earlier this year.

    #etats-unis #sud-Soudan

  • EP delegation: ’Khan al-Ahmar demolition considered war crime’
    Sept. 21, 2018 12:30 P.M. (Updated: Sept. 21, 2018 5:12 P.M.)
    http://www.maannews.com/Content.aspx?ID=781155

    BETHLEHEM (Ma’an) — Eight European Union members declared their opposition to Israel’s planned demolition of the Bedouin village of Khan al-Ahmar, east of Jerusalem, and urged Israel to reconsider its decision, on Thursday.

    The eight EU members opposing Israel’s demolition decision are Belgium, France, Netherlands, Poland, Sweden, United Kingdom, Germany and Italy.

    Dutch Ambassador, Karel Van Oosterom, read the statement, outside the United Nations Security Council, which rebuked the Israeli High Court’s decision to demolish Khan al-Ahmar.

    “We will not give up on a negotiated two-state solution with Jerusalem as a capital” of both Israel and a new Palestinian state, the statement read, referring to the United States Trump administration’s recognition of Jerusalem as the capital of Israel.

    Earlier this week, a delegation of European parliamentarians for relations with Palestine, visited Khan al-Ahmar and warned that its demolition could be considered a war crime.

    #Khan_al-Ahmar

    • Huit pays européens demandent à Israël d’épargner un village bédouin emblématique
      https://www.ouest-france.fr/monde/israel/huit-pays-europeens-demandent-israel-d-epargner-un-village-bedouin-embl
      Par Ouest-France - Publié le 20/09/2018 à 22h28

      (...) Les huit pays européens rappellent que la politique de colonisation d’Israël est « illégale en vertu du droit international ».

      « Les États membres de l’Union européenne n’abandonneront pas la solution négociée de deux États » au Proche-Orient, « avec Jérusalem comme future capitale des deux États », israélien et palestinien, insiste aussi la déclaration, alors que les États-Unis ont décidé il y a près d’un an de reconnaître cette ville comme capitale de l’État d’Israël.

      Les huit signataires de ce texte sont les Pays-Bas, la Suède, la Pologne, le Royaume-Uni, la France, la Belgique, l’Allemagne et l’Italie. Les pays arabes à l’ONU ont souligné par la suite qu’ils approuvaient et soutenaient la prise de position des huit pays européens.

      Entre la Cisjordanie et Jérusalem-Est, plus de 600 000 colons israéliens coexistent, de manière souvent conflictuelle, avec près de trois millions de Palestiniens. Les colonies rognent peu à peu les territoires sur lesquels les Palestiniens souhaitent créer leur État.

  • Explosion damages vessel carrying wheat to #Yemen | Reuters
    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-yemen-security-ship/explosion-damages-vessel-carrying-wheat-to-yemen-idUSKBN1IC2CX

    An explosion has damaged a Turkish vessel carrying wheat to Yemen’s Houthi-controlled port of Saleef, with varying accounts attributing the incident on Thursday to an unexplained blast aboard the ship or a possible missile strike.

    A naval ship of a Saudi-led military coalition received a call from the captain of the vessel, the Ince Inebolu, who reported an opening had appeared in the middle of the ship on the left side, a spokesman for the alliance said.

    Coalition forces conducted a survey of the incident and visited the ship and found an explosion from the inside to the outside,” the spokesman said in a statement.

    The captain said he did not know the cause of the damage, the spokesman said. The coalition later towed the ship to the port of Jizan in Saudi Arabia.

    A shipping source said separately it was possible the damage was either caused by overheating of parts of the ship or a missile.

    A separate source connected with the shipment said the vessel was carrying 50,000 tons of Russian milling wheat, adding that it was unclear if it was hit by a missile or due to an internal blast, while anchored about 70 miles off Saleef, which is just north of the port of Hodeidah on the Red Sea.

    The ship was in a waiting area, the source said, where vessels typically anchor for permission to dock.

  • Pompeo, Big Oil and the attack on Iran Deal | Informed Comment
    https://www.juancole.com/2018/03/pompeo-attack-iran.html

    By Juan Cole | (Informed Comment) | – –
    All you need to know about Mike Pompeo, the four-term congressman from Kansas who is actually from California, is that most of his life he has been in business with the Koch brothers. His appointment as Secretary of State puts a seal on Trump’s withdrawal from the Paris climate accords.
    More dangerously, Trump was straightforward that he put Pompeo in to replace Rex Tillerson in order to destroy the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action treaty between the United Nations Security Council and Iran.
    Pompeo, despite his obvious brilliance, appears to be driven by profound currents of anger, resentment and vindictiveness, and to be unable to feel remorse for purveying falsehoods. His shameful performance at the circus he ran attempting to blame Secretary of State Hillary Clinton for the 2011 Benghazi attack and its aftermath demonstrated a willingness to play fast and loose with the facts and an inquisitorial, McCarthyite mindset.
    His lack of a moral compass makes his connection to the Kochs especially dangerous.
    Charles and David Koch, the notorious billionaires gnawing like termites at the foundations of American democracy, are all about petroleum. They fund phony climate denialism with a Potemkin village of foundations and expert frauds, to make sure oil keeps its value for as long as possible (even at the cost of visiting catastrophes on our children and grandchildren, since burning oil is causing catastrophic global heating).

  • Tapes Reveal Egyptian Leaders’ Tacit Acceptance of Jerusalem Move - The New York Times

    https://www.nytimes.com/2018/01/06/world/middleeast/egypt-jerusalem-talk-shows.html?smid=tw-share

    As President Trump moved last month to recognize Jerusalem as the capital of Israel, an Egyptian intelligence officer quietly placed phone calls to the hosts of several influential talk shows in Egypt.

    “Like all our Arab brothers,” Egypt would denounce the decision in public, the officer, Capt. Ashraf al-Kholi, told the hosts.

    But strife with Israel was not in Egypt’s national interest, Captain Kholi said. He told the hosts that instead of condemning the decision, they should persuade their viewers to accept it. Palestinians, he suggested, should content themselves with the dreary West Bank town that currently houses the Palestinian Authority, Ramallah.

    “How is Jerusalem different from Ramallah, really?” Captain Kholi asked repeatedly in four audio recordings of his telephone calls obtained by The New York Times.

    “Exactly that,” agreed one host, Azmi Megahed, who confirmed the authenticity of the recording.

    For decades, powerful Arab states like Egypt and Saudi Arabia have publicly criticized Israel’s treatment of the Palestinians, while privately acquiescing to Israel’s continued occupation of territory the Palestinians claim as their homeland.

    Continue reading the main story
    RELATED COVERAGE

    Rallying Cry of Jerusalem May Have Lost Force in Arab World DEC. 6, 2017

    Defying Trump, U.N. General Assembly Condemns U.S. Decree on Jerusalem DEC. 21, 2017

    U.S. Vetoes U.N. Resolution Condemning Move on Jerusalem DEC. 18, 2017

    Trump Recognizes Jerusalem as Israel’s Capital and Orders U.S. Embassy to Move DEC. 6, 2017
    But now a de facto alliance against shared foes such as Iran, the Muslim Brotherhood, Islamic State militants and the Arab Spring uprisings is drawing the Arab leaders into an ever-closer collaboration with their one-time nemesis, Israel — producing especially stark juxtapositions between their posturing in public and private.

    Mr. Trump’s decision broke with a central premise of 50 years of American-sponsored peace talks, defied decades of Arab demands that East Jerusalem be the capital of a Palestinian state, and stoked fears of a violent backlash across the Middle East.

    Arab governments, mindful of the popular sympathy for the Palestinian cause, rushed to publicly condemn it.

    Egyptian state media reported that President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi had personally protested to Mr. Trump. Egyptian religious leaders close to the government refused to meet with Vice President Mike Pence, and Egypt submitted a United Nations Security Council resolution demanding a reversal of Mr. Trump’s decision. (The United States vetoed the resolution, although the General Assembly adopted a similar one, over American objections, days later.)

    King Salman of Saudi Arabia, arguably the most influential Arab state, also publicly denounced Mr. Trump’s decision.

    At the same time, though, the kingdom had already quietly signaled its acquiescence or even tacit approval of the Israeli claim to Jerusalem. Days before Mr. Trump’s announcement, the Saudi crown prince, Mohamed bin Salman, privately urged the Palestinian president, Mahmoud Abbas, to accept a radically curtailed vision of statehood without a capital in East Jerusalem, according to Palestinian, Arab and European officials who have heard Mr. Abbas’s version of events.

  • THE “NO-STATE SOLUTION” : DECOLONIZING PALESTINE BEYOND THE WEST BANK AND EAST-JERUSALEM WITH SOPHIA AZEB
    https://thefunambulist.net/no-state-solution-decolonizing-palestine-beyond-west-bank-east-jerus

    A CONVERSATION WITH SOPHIA AZEB, PHOTOGRAPHS BY BRUNO FERT

    LÉOPOLD LAMBERT: Three years ago, you and I met to talk about the power of imagination in political struggle, and your idea of what we called back then the “no-state solution” for the future of Palestine. On December 23, 2016, the United Nations Security Council adopted Resolution 2334 that condemns the construction and existence of Israeli settlements in the West Bank and East Jerusalem. There seems to be a relative consensus among liberal media outlets and politicians on using the term of “colonization” when referring to these settlements. Although we should probably rejoice that organizing efforts such as the Boycott, Divestment, Sanctions (BDS) campaign are indubitably one of the key elements behind the vote for such a resolution, I think that we both share a strong cautiousness about the sort of text that only conceives colonization through the very narrow spectrum of the “Palestinian occupied territories,” rather than through the totality of the Israeli apartheid in Palestine. Would you agree to say that the vision proposed by this resolution as well as the usual liberal narrative is a risky one, as it adopts the entire terminology of the so-called “two-state solution,” that would create a very precarious State of Palestine on a limited and fragmented piece of territory, and ultimately retroactively legitimize the colonial violence deployed against Palestinians since 1947?

  • Israel lobby billionaire praises Kushner for collusion with Netanyahu | The Electronic Intifada | Ali Abunimah Power Suits 4 December 2017
    https://electronicintifada.net/blogs/ali-abunimah/israel-lobby-billionaire-praises-kushner-collusion-netanyahu

    President Donald Trump’s son-in-law Jared Kushner received public praise on Sunday from a billionaire Israel lobby financier for his possibly illegal attempts to derail a UN Security Council vote condemning Israel’s settlements a year ago.

    This came as news broke that Kushner failed to disclose in government ethics filings his role as director of a family foundation that funded Israeli settlements.

    Kushner, a senior adviser to Trump, is in charge of efforts to revive the so-called peace process.

    New details of Kushner’s Saudi-backed plan reported Sunday confirm that it would require nothing less than a complete capitulation by the Palestinians to Israel’s demands, leaving them with a state in name only.
    “Nothing illegal”

    On Sunday, Kushner appeared at the Saban Forum, an Israel lobby conference at Washington’s Brookings Institution, financed by Israeli-American billionaire Haim Saban.

    Saban and Kushner sat on stage for what was billed as a “keynote conversation.”

    “You’ve been in the news the last few days, to say the least. But you’ve been in the news about an issue that I personally want to thank you for, because you and your team were taking steps to try and get the United Nations Security Council to not go along with what ended up being an abstention by the US,” Saban said in the exchange in the video at the top of this article.

    “As far as I know there was nothing illegal there but I think that this crowd and myself want to thank you for making that effort.”

    “Thank you,” Kushner responded.
    (...)

    “Peace” plan

    Given the systematic lack of accountability for senior US officials, dating back decades, there is little reason to expect that anything short of an indictment will remove Kushner from his role.

    And the more that is known about the “peace plan” he is helping forge, the clearer it is that Kushner and his colleagues are simply mouthpieces for Netanyahu.

    On Sunday, The New York Times characterized the as yet unpublished plan in the following terms: “The Palestinians would get a state of their own but only noncontiguous parts of the West Bank and only limited sovereignty over their own territory. The vast majority of Israeli settlements in the West Bank, which most of the world considers illegal, would remain. The Palestinians would not be given East Jerusalem as their capital and there would be no right of return for Palestinian refugees and their descendants.”

    These were the elements reportedly conveyed to Palestinian Authority leader Mahmoud Abbas by Saudi Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman last month with an ultimatum that he accept them or resign.

    These ideas are so far below what any Palestinian could ever accept that even Abbas was “alarmed and visibly upset” by the Saudi proposal, according to an official from his Fatah party cited by the Times.

    The White House has denied that its plan has been finalized, and Saudi Arabia denied it supported such positions, according to the Times.

    But the newspaper provides ample reason to doubt those denials, noting that: “the main points of the Saudi proposal as told to Mr. Abbas were confirmed by many people briefed on the discussions between Mr. Abbas and Prince Mohammad, including Mr. [Ahmad] Yousef, the senior Hamas leader; Ahmad Tibi, a Palestinian member of the Israeli Parliament; several Western officials; a senior Fatah official; a Palestinian official in Lebanon; a senior Lebanese official; and a Lebanese politician, among others.”

    The Saudis have been pressuring the Palestinians to capitulate to Israel evidently to clear the Palestinian cause out of the way so that the growing Saudi-Israeli alliance aimed at Iran can be brought fully into the open.

    One element of the plan reportedly includes giving Palestinians a capital in the village of Abu Dis, instead of Jerusalem.

    This is a revival of a 1990s fantasy in which the small village would be renamed “al-Quds” and declared the “capital of Palestine,” while the real city of Jerusalem is swallowed up by Israel.

    Israel currently uses part of Abu Dis as an illegal garbage dump.

    #Flynn #Kushner #Mueller

    • L’étrange cas de Jared Kushner et du lobby israélien
      Richard Silverstein | 4 décembre 2017
      http://www.middleeasteye.net/fr/opinions/l-trange-cas-de-jared-kushner-et-du-lobby-isra-lien-1758255038

      Il était clair que l’objectif de toute la hiérarchie, à commencer par Netanyahou et Trump, était de détruire la résolution, qui bénéficiait du soutien tacite de l’administration Obama.

      Bien que les États-Unis se soient finalement abstenus, l’administration Obama n’a manifestement rien fait pour arrêter la résolution – ce qui signifie qu’elle l’a tacitement soutenue. Par le passé, elle avait en réalité opposé son veto à des propositions pratiquement identiques du Conseil de sécurité.

      L’abstention était alors une initiative assez audacieuse de la part des États-Unis. Par conséquent, en intervenant pour tuer la résolution, Kushner a franchi la ligne entre le fait d’utiliser son droit de s’exprimer librement sur la politique du gouvernement garanti par le Premier Amendement et le fait de subvertir la politique étrangère officielle des États-Unis. Il s’agit là d’un terrain juridique encore inexploré.

      L’inclusion de la loi Logan dans une liste d’accusations contre Kushner ne serait pas seulement un fait nouveau : cela avertirait en effet le lobby israélien qu’une ligne rouge a été franchie. Et qu’une fois que cette ligne est franchie, on a affaire à un comportement criminel. Ce serait là une première. Un coup de semonce choquant qui ferait vaciller le lobby.

      Cependant, on peut douter que Mueller fasse de la loi Logan un élément clé de sa stratégie juridique. Lorsque l’on poursuit un président des États-Unis, on préfère ne pas s’essayer à des théories juridiques non éprouvées ou ésotériques.

  • Moon of Alabama à propos de la démission de Saad Hariri (en gros : grosse destabilisation du Liban, qui échouera et finira par renforcer intérêts russes et iraniens) :
    http://www.moonofalabama.org/2017/11/lebanon-hariris-resignation-the-opening-shot-of-the-saudi-war-on-hizb

    The resignation of Hariri is intended to provoke a constitutional crisis in Lebanon and to prevent new parliament elections. The further Saudi plan is likely to evolve around these elements:

    – The Trump administration will announce new sanctions against Hizbullah and against Lebanon in general.
    – The Saudi government will slip some of its al-Qaeda/ISIS proxy fighters from Syria and Iraq into Lebanon (possibly via Turkey by sea). It will finance local Lebanese terror operations.
    – There will be new assassination attempts, terror attacks and general rioting by Sunni extremist elements against Christians and Shia in Lebanon.
    – The U.S. will try to press the Lebanese army into a war against Hizbullah.
    – Israel will try to provoke and divert Hizbullah’s attention by new shenanigans at the Lebanese and Syrian border. It will NOT start a war.

    The plan is unlikely to succeed:

    – The Lebanese people as a whole have no interest in a new civil war.
    – The Lebanese army will not get involved on any specific side but will try to keep everyone calm.
    – Sanctions against Hizbullah will hit all of Lebanon, including Sunni interests.
    – A new Sunni prime minister will be found and installed, replacing the resigned Saudi puppet.
    – Russian and Iranian economic interests will find a new market in Lebanon. Russian companies will engage in Lebanese gas and oil extraction in the Mediterranean and replace U.S. involvement.

    The miscalculated Saudi/U.S./Israeli plan against Hizbullah can be understood as a helpless tantrum after their defeat in Syria and Iraq.

    Je vois qu’il y a déjà une traduction en français :
    http://arretsurinfo.ch/liban-demission-dhariri-premiere-salve-de-la-guerre-saoudienne-contre-l

    • Hezbollah is Not a Threat to America | The American Conservative
      http://www.theamericanconservative.com/articles/hezbollah-is-not-a-threat-to-america

      Western-backed militants are in retreat, Bashar al-Assad remains president, Hezbollah has stretched its wings regionally, Israeli power is in decline, and Iran is on the rise. Not a pretty result for Washington’s multi-billion dollar investment in the Syrian conflict, especially if it was intended to change the map of the region to favor U.S. interests.

      The Trump administration is therefore moving to hit its regional adversaries on alternative, non-military fronts—mainly, employing the sanctions tool that can cripple economies, besiege communities, and stir up public discontent.

      The first step was to decertify the nuclear agreement struck between Iran and the five permanent members of the UN Security Council plus Germany (P5+1), which would open up a pathway to further U.S. sanctions against Iran.

      The second step is to resuscitate the Hezbollah “threat” and isolate the organization using legal maneuvers and financial sanctions—what one pro-U.S. Lebanese Central Bank official calls “the new tools of imperialism.”

      The U.S. listed Hezbollah as a “terrorist organization” 20 years ago this month. Most other states, as well as the United Nations Security Council, have not.

      Two weeks ago, at a State Department briefing on the Hezbollah “threat,” National Counterterrorism Center Director Nicholas J. Rasmussen tried to paint a picture of an organization that was directing “terrorism acts worldwide” and posing a threat “to U.S. interests” including “here in the homeland.”

      “Prior to September 11,” Rasmussen claimed, “I think everybody knows Hezbollah was responsible for the terrorism-related deaths of more U.S. citizens than any other foreign terrorist organization.”

  • The unfolding humanitarian crisis around Lake Chad: UN report falls short of naming environmental dimensions | SIPRI
    https://www.sipri.org/commentary/expert-comment/2017/unfolding-humanitarian-crisis-around-lake-chad-un-report-falls-short-naming-e

    It is encouraging to see that the United Nations Security Council is beginning to acknowledge the transboundary dimensions of fragility and conflict, as demonstrated by its newly launched Report of the Secretary-General on the situation in the Lake Chad Basin region. The report, which was presented in the Security Council on 13 September 2017, emphasizes the need for regional responses and the enhanced cooperation of different UN and humanitarian agencies as important steps to addressing the unfolding humanitarian crisis. However, while regional responses to address the regional security challenge are desirable, the report would have been stronger if it had highlighted the underlying environmental contributions of the region’s fragility.

    #lac_tchad #afrique #environnement #eau #tchad

  • Wolfgang Streeck: The Return of the Repressed. New Left Review 104, March-April 2017.
    https://newleftreview.org/II/104/wolfgang-streeck-the-return-of-the-repressed

    Lies, even blatant lies, have always existed in politics. We need think only of Colin Powell’s PowerPoint presentation to the United Nations Security Council, with his aerial photographs proving the existence of Iraqi weapons of mass destruction. As to Germany, one still remembers a defence minister, greatly revered up to this time as a social democrat of the old school, who claimed that the German troops sent into Afghanistan at the urging of the US were defending, ‘at the Hindu Kush’, the security of Germany. However, with the neoliberal revolution and the transition to ‘post-democracy’ [8] associated with it, a new sort of political deceit was born, the expert lie. It began with the Laffer Curve, which was used to prove scientifically that reductions in taxation lead to higher tax receipts. [9] It was followed, inter alia, by the European Commission’s ‘Cecchini Report’ (1988), which, as a reward for the ‘completion of the internal market’ planned for 1992, promised the citizens of Europe an increase in prosperity of the order of 5 per cent of the European Union’s GDP, an average 6 per cent reduction in the price of consumer goods, as well as millions of new jobs and an improvement in public finances of 2.2 per cent of GDP. In the US, meanwhile, financial experts such as Bernanke, Greenspan and Summers agreed that the precautions taken by rational investors in their own interest and on their own account to stabilize ever ‘freer’ and ever more global financial markets were enough; government agencies had no need to take action to prevent the growth of bubbles, partly because they had now learned how to painlessly eliminate the consequences if bubbles were to burst.

    At the same time, the ‘#narratives’ [10] disseminated by mainstream parties, governments and PR specialists, and the decisions and non-decisions associated with them, became ever more absurd. The penetration of the machinery of government by previous and future Goldman Sachs managers continued apace, in recognition of their indispensable expertise, as if nothing had changed. After several years during which not a single one of the bank managers who had shared responsibility for the crash of 2008 had been brought to justice, Obama’s attorney general Eric Holder returned to the New York law firm from which he had come, which specializes in representing financial companies under government investigation—and to a princely million-dollar salary. And Hillary Clinton, who together with her husband and daughter had amassed a fortune in the hundreds of millions in the sixteen years since leaving the White House—from Goldman Sachs speaking fees among other things, far above the earnings even of a Larry Summers—entered the election campaign as the self-designated representative of the ‘hardworking middle class’, a class that in reality had long since been reduced by capitalist progress to the status of a surplus population.

    #mensonge_de_l'expert

  • U.S. Calls Urgent UN Security Council Meeting Over Iranian Missile Test
    http://www.rferl.org/a/us-calls-urgent-un-security-council-meeting-iranian-ballistic-missile-test/28269158.html

    The United Nations Security Council scheduled an urgent meeting for January 31 to discuss an Iranian ballistic missile test at the request of the United States.

    “In light of Iran’s January 29 launch of a medium-range ballistic missile, the United States has requested urgent consultations of the Security Council,” the U.S. mission said late on January 30.

    It was the first request made by the United States since new U.S. Ambassador Nikki Haley took office last week.

    U.S. officials said they would bring the latest test before the Security Council if they determined it violated a UN resolution barring Iran from developing missiles “designed to carry nuclear warheads.”

    #Iran has regularly flaunted that restriction.

    Senate Foreign Relations Committee Chairman Bob Corker condemned the latest missile test.

    “No longer will Iran be given a pass for its repeated ballistic-missile violations, continued support of terrorism, human rights abuses, and other hostile activities that threaten international peace and security,” he said.

    #Israel is also calling on the council to punish Iran for the tests.

    #Etats-Unis

  • A Tweet from Trump and pressure on Egyptians: How Israel blocked UN vote on settlements

    - Israel News - Haaretz.com
    http://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/.premium-1.760827

    After a 15-hour political drama Thursday, Israel succeeded in deflecting, if only temporarily, a United Nations Security Council vote on a draft resolution against the settlements.
    Pressure from the Prime Minister’s Bureau on Cairo, which proposed the resolution, requests for assistance and coordination from President-elect Donald Trump and contacts at the UN and in several world capitals caused Egypt to retract its request for a snap vote.
    Nevertheless it was made clear to the participants in a meeting of the security-diplomatic cabinet last night that the crisis is ongoing and the possibility remains that a vote will still be held in the next few days.
    The saga began on Wednesday night, when the Egyptian delegation to the UN distributed copies of its draft resolution against the settlements to the members of the Security Council and requested that it be brought to the vote on Thursday at 10 P.M. Israel time.
    Israel had operated over the past few months on the assumption that a resolution on Israel-Palestine would be brought to the council before the end of President Barack Obama’s term on January 20 next year.
    Israel’s focus was on an Israel-Palestinian resolution and a resolution from New Zealand, but it was not expected to happen this week.

  • Myanmar’s War on the #Rohingya

    #Myanmar has long persecuted the country’s Rohingya Muslim minority, denying it basic rights to citizenship, to marry, to worship and to an education. After violence unleashed in 2012 by Buddhist extremists drove tens of thousands of Rohingya out of their homes, many risked their lives to escape in smugglers’ boats; more than 100,000 others are living in squalid internment camps. Now, a counterinsurgency operation by Myanmar’s military is again forcing thousands of Rohingya to abandon their villages.


    http://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/21/opinion/myanmars-war-on-the-rohingya.html?_r=1
    #Birmanie

  • US urges Israel to protect freedom of expression after Netanyahu attacks rights groups
    Oct. 18, 2016
    http://www.maannews.com/Content.aspx?ID=773618

    BETHLEHEM (Ma’an) — The United States State Department defended Israeli human rights group B’Tselem in an interview with Israeli newspaper Haaretz on Monday, saying the US was “troubled” by the recent attacks on the group by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.

    Meanwhile, the Israeli government has also recently come under fire for its targeting of foreign activists, and ongoing crackdown on freedom of expression through incarcerating Palestinians — including minors — over Facebook posts.

    US State Department Spokesman John Kirby told the newspaper that “the (US) administration values the information published by the two nonprofits about the situation in the West Bank,” referring to B’Tselem and Americans for Peace Now, two NGOs who spoke before the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) on Friday regarding illegal Israeli settlement expansion in the occupied Palestinian territory.

    #B’Tselem #Peace_Now

  • Ça m’avait échappé : le Liban avait participé à la proposition de no-fly zone sur la Libye ?
    http://www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm201617/cmselect/cmfaff/119/119.pdf

    17. France, Lebanon and the UK proposed Resolution 1973 in the United Nations Security Council with the support of the United States. On 17 March 2011, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Colombia, Gabon, Lebanon, Nigeria, Portugal, South Africa and permanent Security Council members France, the UK and the United States voted in favour of the resolution. Brazil, Germany, India and permanent Security Council members China and Russia abstained. No Security Council member state opposed the resolution.40 Resolution 1973 authorised member states to establish and enforce a no- y zone over Libya and to use “all necessary measures” to prevent attacks on civilians.41 It neither explicitly authorised the deployment of ground forces nor addressed the questions of regime change and of post-con ict reconstruction.

  • Fighting Human Trafficking in Conflict - United Nations University

    https://unu.edu/fighting-human-trafficking-in-conflict

    Fighting Human Trafficking in Conflict

    An estimated 45.8 million people live in modern slavery. The International Labour Organization estimates that global profits from forced labour surpass US$150 billion per annum, suggesting that slavery, forced labour and human trafficking are more profitable than the global arms trade. Today, non-state armed groups like Da’esh/Islamic State and Boko Haram actively promote slavery both as a means to finance themselves and as a method of war.

    With the UN Security Council about to receive a report from the Secretary-General on Trafficking in Persons in Conflict, there is a unique opening for action on this issue. This new report, Fighting Human Trafficking in Conflict: 10 Ideas for Action by the United Nations Security Council, reviews the tools available to the UN Security Council and member states and suggests 10 ideas for action, providing concrete steps for the UN Security Council and its partners to take to sever the link between conflict and slavery.

    #droits_humains #trafic_des_personnes

  • Fighting Human Trafficking in Conflict: 10 Ideas for Action by the United Nations Security Council

    An estimated 45.8 million people live in modern slavery. The International Labour Organization estimates that global profits from forced labour surpass US$150 billion per annum, suggesting that slavery, forced labour and human trafficking are more profitable than the global arms trade. Today, non-state armed groups like Da’esh/Islamic State and #Boko_Haram actively promote slavery both as a means to finance themselves and as a method of war.

    The report “Fighting Human Trafficking in Conflict: 10 Ideas for Action by the United Nations Security Council” reviews the tools available to the UN Security Council and member states and provides concrete steps for the UN Security Council and its partners to take to sever the link between conflict and slavery.

    This video accompanies the report which distills insights from a two-day workshop organised by the United Nations University with the support of the Permanent Missions of the United Kingdom and of Liechtenstein to the United Nations, Thomson Reuters and the Grace Farms Foundation. The workshop brought together some 110 participants from permanent missions to the United Nations, UN entities, national law enforcement agencies, financial intelligence units, the technology sector, the financial sector, media, and civil society.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K4h9d6nAFIs


    #esclavage #trafic_d'êtres_humains #traite #EI #Etat_islamique #conflits #guerres

  • Si les Séoudiens n’aiment pas Obama, ce n’est pas pour sa politique syrienne ou iranienne, c’est avant tout parce qu’ils craignent que, si eux-mêmes subissaient une révolution démocratique, Obama ne les soutiendrait pas. What’s really wrong with the U.S.-Saudi relationship - Marc Lynch
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2016/04/20/whats-really-wrong-with-the-u-s-saudi-relationship

    Much of the discussion of U.S.-Saudi tensions has focused on Gulf regime grievances over the nuclear deal with Iran and the American refusal to intervene in Syria.

    As I argue in my forthcoming book, “The New Arab Wars,” the deeper driver of these tensions, however, is the existential fear for regime survival unleashed by the Arab uprisings and the fall of Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak. Arab leaders suddenly feared that Washington would be unwilling or unable to come to their rescue if they faced renewed popular mobilization. The erratic and counterproductive policies they pursued in response, at home and across the region, have exacerbated their domestic problems — and put them sharply at odds with American strategic goals in the region.

    • Vraiment intéressant.
      Mais l’idée qu’il y aurait une crainte saoudienne que Washington ne voudrait pas ou ne serait pas capable de venir les sauver en cas d’un Printemps arabe 2.0 (renewed popular mobilization) est, à mon avis, encore en-dessous de la réalité.
      Les Saoudiens savent parfaitement, comme la plupart des gouvernements, qui a préparé le terrain pour les « printemps arabes ». Que l’on songe à tous les gouvernements qui l’ont dit ou qui ont pris des dispositions législatives contre les ONG étrangères pour se prémunir contre ce genre d’évènements que sont les révolutions colorées : Russie, Iran, Venezuela, Egypte de Sissi, Biélorussie, ...
      A mon avis, ce que craignent les Saoudiens, c’est qu’alors qu’ils ont une première fois réussi à repousser cela loin de leurs alliés, une seconde vague ne vienne ébranler leur pouvoir avec comme toujours, leur grand « allié » américain à la manœuvre.
      La première fois ils ont réussi à sauver la monarchie bahreïnie en envoyant 1000 soldats réprimer dans le sang le soulèvement bahreïni, à flinguer les Frères musulmans en Egypte et à rabattre le caquet du Qatar - les FM et le Qatar étant les principales forces sur lesquelles s’appuyaient les USA en 2011-2012. Maintenant que les prétentions des FM et du Qatar ont été rabattues, les Saoud peuvent de nouveau s’entendre avec eux - par exemple au Yémen avec le parti Islah issu des FM.
      L’article note certains de ces points :

      The Saudis have won on many important issues, while Obama has prevailed on his own highest priorities. The Saudi side of the ledger includes Obama’s willingness to turn a blind eye to the sectarian repression of Bahrain’s uprising, support for an obviously doomed and devastating war in Yemen, billions of dollars in arms sales and grudging acceptance of the Gulf-backed military coup in Egypt.

      Mais là aussi l’article est à mon avis encore un cran en-dessous de la réalité. L’administration Obama n’a pas laissé les Saoudiens sauver le roitelet de Bahreïn, en regardant ailleurs, parce que ce n’était pas un point important pour les USA, comme le suggère l’article, mais parce que c’était la condition pour intervenir en Libye contre Kadhafi.
      Pepe Escobar avait écrit un article sur ce deal :
      http://atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/MD02Ak01.html

      You invade Bahrain. We take out Muammar Gaddafi in Libya. This, in short, is the essence of a deal struck between the Barack Obama administration and the House of Saud. Two diplomatic sources at the United Nations independently confirmed that Washington, via Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, gave the go-ahead for Saudi Arabia to invade Bahrain and crush the pro-democracy movement in their neighbor in exchange for a “yes” vote by the Arab League for a no-fly zone over Libya - the main rationale that led to United Nations Security Council resolution 1973.

      Qui, sur le terrain à Bahreïn, effrayait les Saoudiens ? Les militants des droits de l’homme à la Nabil Rajab et alKhawaja soutenus par les fondations américaines, et le Wefaq que Ryadh perçoit comme un parti satellite de l’Iran - et qui aurait pu jouer le même rôle que les FM ailleurs.
      Donc Ryadh a obtenu de Washington (Clinton) de pouvoir écraser ces deux forces à Bahreïn, avant que des forces similaires ne viennent contester le régime absolutiste saoudien sur son propre sol au nom de la démocratie pour les uns, ou du droit des chiites pour les autres (dans le Hasa pétrolier). Et les USA ont donc laissé ceux qu’ils avaient soutenus (les militants des droits de l’homme) se faire tranquillement torturer à Bahreïn... Mais c’est un coup d’urgence pas une politique sur le long terme. Il n’y aura pas éternellement un Kadhafi à sacrifier pour apaiser le Moloch du regime-change américain.
      Sur le long terme les Saoudiens ont donc tenté d’une part de constituer une Sainte-Alliance des monarchies, avec au centre un CCG qu’il leur fallait dominer, pour dévier la vague uniquement vers les seuls régimes républicains-autoritaires, et d’autre part de relancer la guerre sunnites/chiites contre l’Iran et ses alliés dans le cadre d’une compétition déjà ancienne.
      D’où d’ailleurs leur acharnement à refuser la défaite en Syrie où les deux enjeux se conjuguent.

  • A New Normal: Ongoing Chemical Weapons Attacks in Syria

    Since the conflict in Syria began, there have been numerous and horrific violations of humanitarian and human rights law, including the systematic use of chemical weapons. A New Normal: Ongoing Chemical Weapons Attacks in Syria is a report by the Syrian American Medical Society that documents 161 chemical attacks from the beginning of the conflict through 2015, using reports and first-hand accounts from physicians and health workers in Syria. SAMS compiled another 133 reported chemical attacks that could not be fully substantiated. The 161 documented chemical attacks have led to at least 1,491 deaths and 14,581 injuries from chemical exposure. Out of the 161 attacks, 77% have occurred after the passage of United Nations Security Council (UNSC) Resolution 2118 in September 2013, which created a framework for the destruction of Syria’s declared chemical weapons stockpiles. In 2015, there were 69 chemical weapons attacks, making it the year with the most chemical weapons attacks in Syria to date. At least 58 chlorine attacks, or 36% of the total chemical weapons attacks, occurred after UNSC Resolution 2209 which condemns chlorine gas as a weapon in Syria.

    https://www.sams-usa.net/foundation/images/A%20New%20Normal%20Photo.JPG
    https://www.sams-usa.net/foundation/index.php/component/content/article/2-uncategorised/255-a-new-normal-ongoing-chemical-weapons-attacks-in-syria
    #Syrie #armes_nucléaires #guerre #conflit

  • Un accord formel a été atteint à Munich entre les pays de l’ISSG (International Syrian Support Group) comprenant tous les acteurs extérieurs du conflit syrien : Saoudiens, Turquie, UK, USA, Qatar, France, Russie, Iran… Il appelle à une cessation des hostilités (mais pas un cessez-le-feu) et à organiser l’accès humanitaire à TOUTES les villes assiégées. Cela semble un bon pas an avant dans toute la partie ouest de la Syrie, mais il y a, selon moi, encore loin de la coupe aux lèvres.
    http://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/feb/12/syria-cessation-of-hostilities-full-text-of-the-support-groups-communiq

    Major powers agreed on Friday to implement a cessation of hostilities in Syria and to expand delivery of humanitarian aid to people caught up in the conflict.

    Cette aide humanitaire commencera par des largages aériens :

    In order to accelerate the urgent delivery of humanitarian aid, sustained delivery of assistance shall begin this week by air to Deir Ez Zour and simultaneously to Fouah, Kafrayah, the besieged areas of rural Damascus, Madaya, Mouadhimiyeh, and Kafr Batna by land, and continue as long as humanitarian needs persist.

    Mais pourquoi aériens ? C’est-à-dire qu’au sol, certains de l’ « opposition » ne sont pas trop d’accord : http://seenthis.net/messages/459779

    Deuxième problème pour le camp Saoud/Turquie, cet accord de cessation d’hostilités ne vaut évidemment ni pour Da’ich, ni pour al-Nusra, qui restent donc des cibles légitimes pour les bombardiers russes. Le texte de l’accord rappelle d’ailleurs les résolutions du CS de l’ONU ( qui excluaient déjà ces deux groupes et « toutes les entités associées à al-Qaïda » du bénéfice de tout accord de cessez-le-feu) :

    The ISSG members agreed that a nationwide cessation of hostilities must be urgently implemented, and should apply to any party currently engaged in military or paramilitary hostilities against any other parties other than Daesh, Jabhat al-Nusra, or other groups designated as terrorist organisations by the United Nations Security Council. […]The ISSG decided that all members will undertake their best efforts, in good faith, to sustain the cessation of hostilities and delivery of humanitarian assistance, and take measures to stop any activities prohibited by United Nations Security Council Resolutions 2170, 2178, 2199, 2249, 2253, and 2254.

    Du coup c’est toute la coalition de l’opposition dans la province d’Idlib et au nord d’Alep, qui comprend al-Nusra, qui est menacée d’implosion, voire de guerre interne, selon une logique qui a déjà été évoque ici : http://seenthis.net/messages/455545 ( et auparavant ici : http://seenthis.net/messages/433418)
    D’ailleurs on commence à avoir une idée du risque qui pèse sur l’autre composante principale, avec al-Nusra, de cette coalition, le groupe salafiste Ahrar al-Cham. Un des activistes de ce groupe, interrogé par le Guardian, déclare que son groupe rejettera cet accord si al-Nusra n’est pas reconnu et ne peut pas s’assoir à la table des négociations. L’idée qu’une telle revendication, asseoir al-Qaïda à la table d’un accord international soutenu à l’ONU, puisse avoir une quelconque chance d’être acceptée, donne une idée du degré de désespoir au sein d’Ahrar al-Cham :
    http://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2016/feb/12/syria-ceasefire-agreed-munich-peace-talks-live?page=with:block-56bda758

    An activist close to the Ahrar al-Sham rebel group said the agreement amounted to giving Russia time and international cover to continue bombing the opposition fighting the Assad regime, writes Kareem Shaheen.
    He warned that Ahrar al-Sham could reject the deal it allows Russia to continue bombing the al-Nusra Front, which operates throughout much of rebel-held territory in the country.
    “I don’t expect Ahrar to accept it, because the agreement is completely illogical,” he said. “It is a waste of time because as long as Nusra is excluded from the agreement it means fighting will not stop in any area.” […]
    “Not only in Aleppo but in most liberated areas there is Nusra, and consequently this agreement cannot be implemented,” the activist said.

    Voila pour la partie ouest (la plus importante) et sud. Mais cet accord, s’il est respecté et suivi d’actes, laisse pendante la question des territoires de l’est tenus par Da’ich. Très probablement le camp Saoud/Qatar va tout essayer pour se maintenir dans l’équation syrienne et donc tenter la solution B qui consiste à prendre le contrôle de tout ou partie de l’est – et cette fois-ci les USA pourraient bien se laisser tenter : http://seenthis.net/messages/457855#message458439 .
    La course vers Raqqa, comme il y a 70 ans celle vers Berlin, pourrait bien avoir d’ores et déjà commencée : http://www.moonofalabama.org/2016/02/the-race-to-raqqa-is-on-to-keep-its-unity-syria-must-win-.html

    • Avec toutefois un bémol : pour atteindre Rakka, pour les Saoudiens il faut passer par l’Irak, la Jordanie ou la Turquie avant d’arriver « sur site » comme ils disent à la radio. Aucun de ces chemins ne me paraît très facile à emprunter. Quant à la voie des airs, il faudra l’accord des Russes...

    • @gonzo : Bien vu ! Je n’y avais simplement pas réfléchi en lisant MoA ! :(

      Hypothèse : puisqu’il faut du temps, il va falloir flinguer cet accord de Munich pour empêcher que l’armée syrienne puisse mobiliser des forces à l’est - quitte à perdre un peu plus de terrain au nord-ouest, et éviter la guerre interne au sein de Jaysh al-Fatah. Campagne de relations publiques contre les frappes russes à prévoir pour masquer les responsables de l’enterrement et accuser Moscou.

      En tout cas, Ryad Hijab laisse clairement entendre que l’opposition de sa majesté Salman pourrait refuser l’accord :
      http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-02-12/syria-cease-fire-seen-in-a-week-as-talks-lead-to-aid-agreement

      Initial reactions to the deal from within Syria were skeptical. Opposition leader Riad Hijab said on his Twitter account that implementing the cease fire depends on the agreement of the rebels on the southern and northern fronts.